High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Resolves in 6h — verify the source
Verify
2Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys
Momentum observation
Momentum
3Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
4Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic
Momentum observation
Momentum
5Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech
Momentum observation
Momentum
MARKET PULSE
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena FrechHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
67% 25.0pp
24h volume
$629.7K
Orrery Pulse50% current33-66% 7D range-15.5pp net move
71%60%49%38%27%
50%
May 2750%-15.5pp from start
May 26May 26May 26May 27May 27May 27May 27May 27
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open 2Open 3Open 4Open 5Open 6Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Top read
24h Δ -11.0pp, 1h Δ -4.0pp · Turnover 8.0× liquidity
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys
24h Δ -43.0pp, 1h Δ -4.0pp · Turnover 17.1× liquidity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
24h Δ -10.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 4.8× liquidity
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic
24h Δ -37.0pp, 1h Δ -37.5pp · Turnover 13.7× liquidity
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech
24h Δ 25.0pp, 1h Δ 24.0pp · Turnover 8.6× liquidity
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wang
24h Δ -14.5pp, 1h Δ -17.5pp · Turnover 15.1× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 95/98 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 89 | 95/80 94/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 89 | 87/92 94/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/81 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 27, 2026
Read full brief - Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys probability down 43.0pp on $1.2M of 24h volume.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? resolves in 1h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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