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Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
2Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong
Momentum observation
Momentum
3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Resolves in 31h — verify the source
Verify
4Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals
Momentum observation
Momentum
5Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Momentum observation
Momentum
MARKET PULSE
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de JongHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
33% 38.0pp
24h volume
$1.2M
Orrery Pulse50% current50-51% 7D range+0.0pp net move
59%54%50%46%42%
50%
May 2950%+0.0pp from start
May 27May 27May 27May 28May 28May 28May 29May 29
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de JongTop read
24h Δ -38.0pp, 1h Δ -16.0pp · Turnover 11.2× liquidity
2Open
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals
24h Δ 27.5pp, 1h Δ 29.5pp · Turnover 12.2× liquidity
4Open
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
24h Δ 7.5pp, 1h Δ 2.5pp · Turnover 3.2× liquidity
5Open
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
24h Δ -19.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 1.2× liquidity
6Open
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
24h Δ -6.9pp, 1h Δ -11.9pp · Turnover 3.6× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
—
—
—
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 95/84 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/80 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 85/90 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 83 | 95/82 60/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 82 | 81/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 29, 2026
Read full brief - Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong probability down 38.0pp on $1.2M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage resolves in 5h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
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