High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakina
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
2Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?
Resolves in 3h — verify the source
Verify
3Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik
Momentum observation
Momentum
4Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys
Momentum observation
Momentum
5US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub MensikHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: shared dashboard stateChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
14% 33.0pp
24h volume
$1.7M
Orrery Pulse52% current25-72% 7D range+5.5pp net move
80%64%48%32%17%
52%
May 2752%+5.5pp from start
May 25May 25May 26May 26May 26May 27May 27May 27
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open 2Open 3Open 4Open 5Open 6Open
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub MensikTop read
24h Δ -33.0pp, 1h Δ -44.0pp · Turnover 39.0× liquidity
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys
24h Δ -32.0pp, 1h Δ -15.0pp · Turnover 26.5× liquidity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
24h Δ -7.0pp, 1h Δ -2.0pp · Turnover 6.7× liquidity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
24h Δ -6.0pp, 1h Δ -0.5pp · Turnover 2.3× liquidity
Roland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar
24h Δ 5.0pp, 1h Δ 7.9pp · Turnover 3.6× liquidity
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech
24h Δ -4.0pp, 1h Δ -3.0pp · Turnover 3.6× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 95/77 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/77 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 83 | 85/82 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 80 | 77/80 86/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 73/89 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 27, 2026
Read full brief - Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik probability down 33.0pp on $1.7M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? resolves in 3h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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