Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Rob Font next?
Probability
38¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
+11.7pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$52.52
Probability (last 7 days)
+33.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 12pp over 24h
Now 38¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 73.5¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5985.0h
- 15:02SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.1pp
to 36¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.3pp
to 36¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.3pp
to 35¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.3pp
to 32¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.4pp
to 25¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.6pp
to 25¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.6pp
to 34¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.9pp
to 32¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.8pp
to 40¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.0pp
to 41¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.6pp
to 36¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.4pp
to 23¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.8pp
to 25¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 29¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.8pp
to 31¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 38.8pp
to 39¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.9pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.3pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.1pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.7pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 42.4pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.1pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.1pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.6pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.3pp
to 29¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.8pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.9pp
to 19¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (73.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).