Resolves in 4h — verify the source
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5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings
Resolves in 1h — verify the source
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RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-19?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?PINNED NO
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 95/90 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 82 | 78/91 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 68/95 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 77 | 72/82 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 19, 2026
Read full brief - Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants probability down 26.0pp on $0.5M of 24h volume.
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? resolves in 1h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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