Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
4 observations · 32 resolution risks
VERIFICATION QUEUERanked checks before you trust the price.
Full research queue Recommended next check
Start here: Verify the resolution source before reading price moves as info1Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05?
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
2Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 34h — verify the source
Verify
3Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Momentum observation
Momentum
4Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
Momentum observation
Momentum
5Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Momentum observation
Momentum
ACTIVE VERIFICATION TARGET
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?HIGH EVIDENCE
Active target: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
91% 31.0pp
24h volume
$195.3K
Verification targetHistory unavailable
100%75%50%25%0%
Price history unavailable
WHY THIS IS ACTIVE
Orrery is prioritizing this market because price movement, volume, and evidence context make it worth checking before reading the price as information.
31.0pp24h move$195.3K24h volumeVerifysource and settlement path
EVIDENCE ACTIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander ZverevQueue proof
24h Δ -20.0pp, 1h Δ -22.0pp · Turnover 32.5× liquidity
3Open
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
24h Δ -14.0pp, 1h Δ -0.3pp · Turnover 1.8× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
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Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?UMA PENDING
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 92/84 96/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 88 | 95/86 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/76 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 69 | 51/84 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 5, 2026
Read full brief - Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? probability up 31.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5? resolves in 2h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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