Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
5 observations · 32 resolution risks
VERIFICATION QUEUERanked checks before you trust the price.
Full research queue Recommended next check
Start here: Open Detail and read the resolution source before acting1Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05?
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
2Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 33h — verify the source
Verify
3Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Momentum observation
Momentum
4Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
Momentum observation
Momentum
5Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 33h — verify the source
Verify
ACTIVE VERIFICATION TARGET
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?MIXED EVIDENCE
Active target: strongest divergence observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
53% 0.4pp
24h volume
$253.4K
Verification target1% current1-91% 7D range-85.0pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
1%
Jun 51%-85.0pp from start
May 31Jun 1Jun 2Jun 2Jun 3Jun 4Jun 4Jun 5
WHY THIS IS ACTIVE
Orrery is prioritizing this market because price movement, volume, and evidence context make it worth checking before reading the price as information.
0.4pp24h move$253.4K24h volumeVerifysource and settlement path
EVIDENCE ACTIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander ZverevQueue proof
24h Δ -19.7pp, 1h Δ -26.7pp · Turnover 26.0× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?UMA PENDING
High
High
Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Darya AstakhovaUMA PENDING
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 95/87 94/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/75 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 61/90 98/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 69 | 51/84 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 67 | 56/83 60/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 5, 2026
Read full brief - Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? probability up 34.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5? resolves in 1h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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