High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Resolves in 10h — verify the source
Verify
2Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Resolves in 2h — verify the source
Verify
3Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Resolves in 10h — verify the source
Verify
4Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
5Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin LandaluceTop read
24h Δ 28.0pp, 1h Δ 22.0pp · Turnover 26.4× liquidity
2Open
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
24h Δ -11.8pp, 1h Δ -2.9pp · Turnover 9.7× liquidity
3Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
24h Δ -8.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 3.1× liquidity
4Open
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana
24h Δ -7.0pp, 1h Δ -29.0pp · Turnover 19.7× liquidity
5Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
24h Δ -7.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 3.0× liquidity
6Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
24h Δ -12.5pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 1.0× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi OsakaUMA PENDING
High
High
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2UMA PENDING
High
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 95/80 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 85/91 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 88/86 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 84 | 83/91 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 83 | 85/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 30, 2026
Read full brief - Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce probability up 28.0pp on $1.8M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? resolves in 2h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
WATCHLIST DELTA
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