Heilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio NavaUMA PENDING
High
Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
2 observations · 32 resolution risks
VERIFICATION QUEUERanked checks before you trust the price.
Full research queue Recommended next check
Start here: Open Detail and read the resolution source before acting1Heilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio Nava
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
2Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 33h — verify the source
Verify
3Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 33h — verify the source
Verify
4Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?
Resolves in 1h — verify the source
Verify
5Knicks vs. Spurs
Resolves in 9h — verify the source
Verify
ACTIVE VERIFICATION TARGET
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander ZverevHIGH EVIDENCE
Active target: strongest divergence observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
14% 9.8pp
24h volume
$4.8M
Verification target51% current49-53% 7D range+0.5pp net move
59%55%51%47%42%
51%
Jun 551%+0.5pp from start
Jun 1Jun 2Jun 2Jun 3Jun 3Jun 4Jun 5Jun 5
WHY THIS IS ACTIVE
Orrery is prioritizing this market because price movement, volume, and evidence context make it worth checking before reading the price as information.
9.8pp24h move$4.8M24h volumeVerifysource and settlement path
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05?UMA PENDING
High
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Darya AstakhovaUMA PENDING
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 81/85 98/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 70 | 51/85 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 5, 2026
Read full brief - Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? probability up 28.0pp on $0.3M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev shows a divergence pattern at 81% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5? resolves in 1h — verify the source before treating as research.
IGNORE (0)
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