Heilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio NavaUMA PENDING
High
Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
2 observations · 32 resolution risks
VERIFICATION QUEUERanked checks before you trust the price.
Full research queue Recommended next check
Start here: Open Detail and read the resolution source before acting1Heilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio Nava
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
2Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 33h — verify the source
Verify
3Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 33h — verify the source
Verify
4Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?
Resolves in 1h — verify the source
Verify
5Knicks vs. Spurs
Resolves in 9h — verify the source
Verify
ACTIVE VERIFICATION TARGET
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander ZverevHIGH EVIDENCE
Active target: strongest divergence observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
14% 9.8pp
24h volume
$4.8M
Verification target0% current0-89% 7D range-68.5pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
0%
May 300%-68.5pp from start
May 29May 29May 29May 29May 29May 29May 29May 30
WHY THIS IS ACTIVE
Orrery is prioritizing this market because price movement, volume, and evidence context make it worth checking before reading the price as information.
9.8pp24h move$4.8M24h volumeVerifysource and settlement path
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05?UMA PENDING
High
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Darya AstakhovaUMA PENDING
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 81/85 98/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 70 | 51/85 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 5, 2026
Read full brief - Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? probability up 28.0pp on $0.3M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev shows a divergence pattern at 81% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5? resolves in 1h — verify the source before treating as research.
IGNORE (0)
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