Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
4 observations · 32 resolution risks
VERIFICATION QUEUERanked checks before you trust the price.
Full research queue Recommended next check
Start here: Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings1Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Resolves in 30h — verify the source
Verify
2Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
3Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 30h — verify the source
Verify
4Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
5Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 30h — verify the source
Verify
ACTIVE VERIFICATION TARGET
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?HIGH EVIDENCE
Active target: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
64% 25.1pp
24h volume
$241.3K
Verification targetHistory unavailable
100%75%50%25%0%
Price history unavailable
WHY THIS IS ACTIVE
Orrery is prioritizing this market because price movement, volume, and evidence context make it worth checking before reading the price as information.
25.1pp24h move$241.3K24h volumeVerifysource and settlement path
EVIDENCE ACTIONS
All signals 1Open
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Queue proof
24h Δ 25.1pp, 1h Δ 3.2pp · Turnover 5.5× liquidity
2Open
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
24h Δ -14.0pp, 1h Δ -0.2pp · Turnover 1.4× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 95/77 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 88/85 94/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 80 | 80/80 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 69 | 51/84 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 5, 2026
Read full brief - Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? probability up 25.1pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5 resolves in 0h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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