High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31?
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
2San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals
Momentum observation
Momentum
3Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
Momentum observation
Momentum
4Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros
Momentum observation
Momentum
5Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca
Momentum observation
Momentum
MARKET PULSE
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao FonsecaHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
42% 17.0pp
24h volume
$1.1M
Orrery Pulse100% current50-100% 7D range+50.0pp net move
100%83%66%49%31%
100%
May 31100%+50.0pp from start
May 30May 30May 30May 31May 31May 31May 31May 31
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao FonsecaTop read
24h Δ -17.0pp, 1h Δ -13.0pp · Turnover 15.8× liquidity
5Open
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev
24h Δ -6.0pp, 1h Δ -17.0pp · Turnover 49.0× liquidity
6Open
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
24h Δ -4.7pp, 1h Δ -2.1pp · Turnover 9.8× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?UMA PENDING
High
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesUMA PENDING
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5UMA PENDING
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 95/75 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/81 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/77 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 81/82 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 31, 2026
Read full brief - Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds probability down 52.5pp on $0.6M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
RISK INCREASED (0)
- No new resolution risks
WATCHLIST DELTA
Watchlist sits in your browser — we don't store it server-side. Add markets you want to track, then this panel shows the since-last-visit delta for each.
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