High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Resolves in 2h — verify the source
Verify
2Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Resolves in 34h — verify the source
Verify
3US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Resolves in 34h — verify the source
Verify
4Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
5Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar
Momentum observation
Momentum
MARKET PULSE
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael JodarHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
52% 31.0pp
24h volume
$527.4K
Orrery Pulse100% current50-100% 7D range+50.0pp net move
100%83%66%49%32%
100%
May 29100%+50.0pp from start
May 27May 27May 27May 28May 28May 28May 29May 29
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael JodarTop read
24h Δ 31.0pp, 1h Δ 36.0pp · Turnover 8.5× liquidity
2Open
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
24h Δ -9.0pp, 1h Δ -9.0pp · Turnover 60.5× liquidity
5Open
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik
24h Δ 5.0pp, 1h Δ 1.0pp · Turnover 4.2× liquidity
6Open
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
24h Δ -6.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 0.7× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 95/80 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 84 | 81/83 92/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 83 | 80/81 96/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 83 | 91/73 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 78/81 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 29, 2026
Read full brief - Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar probability up 31.0pp on $0.5M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs resolves in 2h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
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