Resolves in 5h — verify the source
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Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
4 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings
Resolves in 1h — verify the source
Verify
Resolves in 5h — verify the source
Verify
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-19?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?PINNED NO
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 95/90 94/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 77 | 65/93 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 69 | 51/82 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 19, 2026
Read full brief - Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants probability down 24.0pp on $0.4M of 24h volume.
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? resolves in 1h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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