High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
Resolves in 58h — verify the source
Verify
2Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
3Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Resolves in 58h — verify the source
Verify
4Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik
Momentum observation
Momentum
5Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-29?
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub MensikHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
28% 48.0pp
24h volume
$894.1K
Orrery Pulse10% current10-50% 7D range-40.0pp net move
57%44%30%16%3%
10%
May 2910%-40.0pp from start
May 29May 29May 29May 29May 29May 29May 29May 29
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak DjokovicTop read
24h Δ -17.0pp, 1h Δ -11.0pp · Turnover 40.8× liquidity
2Open
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong
24h Δ -56.0pp, 1h Δ -50.5pp · Turnover 20.8× liquidity
3Open
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik
24h Δ -48.0pp, 1h Δ -53.0pp · Turnover 7.2× liquidity
4Open
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul
24h Δ -21.0pp, 1h Δ -12.0pp · Turnover 10.1× liquidity
6Open
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
24h Δ 8.3pp, 1h Δ 0.5pp · Turnover 9.1× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 95/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/82 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/81 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/80 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/78 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 29, 2026
Read full brief - Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong probability down 56.0pp on $1.4M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage resolves in 5h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
WATCHLIST DELTA
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