US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
5 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
Resolves in 4h — verify the source
Verify
2Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans
Momentum observation
Momentum
3Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Momentum observation
Momentum
4San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
Resolves in 1h — verify the source
Verify
5Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5
Resolves in 1h — verify the source
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
16% 30.5pp
24h volume
$384.7K
Orrery Pulse46% current46-56% 7D range-4.0pp net move
59%55%51%47%42%
46%
May 3146%-4.0pp from start
May 24May 25May 26May 27May 28May 29May 30May 31
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat TitansTop read
24h Δ 45.1pp, 1h Δ 9.1pp · Turnover 7.1× liquidity
3Open
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
24h Δ 4.6pp, 1h Δ 0.3pp · Turnover 2.9× liquidity
4Open
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca
24h Δ 5.0pp, 1h Δ 1.0pp · Turnover 0.8× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?UMA PENDING
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 95/88 92/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 76/93 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/77 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 77 | 63/94 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 74 | 54/96 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 31, 2026
Read full brief - Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans probability up 45.1pp on $1.4M of 24h volume.
- Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 resolves in 0h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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