High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
2Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Momentum observation
Momentum
3Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
Momentum observation
Momentum
4Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev
Momentum observation
Momentum
5Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31?
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey RublevHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
69% 21.0pp
24h volume
$3.9M
Orrery Pulse0% current0-25% 7D range-17.0pp net move
34%25%17%8%0%
0%
May 310%-17.0pp from start
May 24May 25May 26May 27May 28May 29May 30May 31
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey RublevTop read
24h Δ 21.0pp, 1h Δ 7.0pp · Turnover 28.0× liquidity
4Open
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca
24h Δ -8.0pp, 1h Δ -12.0pp · Turnover 15.0× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?UMA PENDING
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesUMA PENDING
High
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 95/86 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 88 | 95/86 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/78 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 83 | 88/80 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 78 | 76/77 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 31, 2026
Read full brief - Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? probability up 38.8pp on $1.2M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
RISK INCREASED (0)
- No new resolution risks
WATCHLIST DELTA
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