High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31?
Resolves in 1h — verify the source
Verify
2Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Momentum observation
Momentum
3Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
4Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Momentum observation
Momentum
5San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals
Momentum observation
Momentum
MARKET PULSE
Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
11% 30.0pp
24h volume
$811.2K
Orrery Pulse100% current8-100% 7D range+86.5pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
100%
May 31100%+86.5pp from start
May 24May 25May 26May 27May 28May 29May 30May 31
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey RublevTop read
24h Δ 13.0pp, 1h Δ 13.0pp · Turnover 42.3× liquidity
2Open
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
24h Δ 39.1pp, 1h Δ 0.3pp · Turnover 4.1× liquidity
4Open
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals
24h Δ -21.0pp, 1h Δ -18.0pp · Turnover 14.1× liquidity
5Open
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
24h Δ -9.2pp, 1h Δ -0.2pp · Turnover 6.2× liquidity
6Open
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca
24h Δ 5.5pp, 1h Δ 0.5pp · Turnover 17.7× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?UMA PENDING
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
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Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 95/91 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 89 | 92/82 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/82 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/76 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/76 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 31, 2026
Read full brief - Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? probability up 39.1pp on $1.2M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31? resolves in 0h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
RISK INCREASED (1)
WATCHLIST DELTA
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