Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Verify the resolution source before reading price moves as info
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis CardinalsHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
92% 44.5pp
24h volume
$394.2K
Orrery Pulse0% current0-3% 7D range-1.6pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
0%
May 170%-1.6pp from start
May 16May 16May 16May 16May 17May 17May 17May 17
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch 32 active risks in one mode
High
High
High
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?UMA DISPUTED
High
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay RaysUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5UMA PENDING
High
High
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland GuardiansUMA PENDING
High
High
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesUMA PENDING
High
High
High
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?UMA PENDING
High
High
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 95/79 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/76 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/74 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 81/76 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 76/84 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 17, 2026
Read full brief - Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals probability up 44.5pp on $0.4M of 24h volume.
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Iran closes its airspace by May 18? resolves in 3h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
WATCHLIST DELTA
Watchlist sits in your browser — we don't store it server-side. Add markets you want to track, then this panel shows the since-last-visit delta for each.
Set up watchlist