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Prediction market research guides

Evergreen, citation-ready explainers for humans, search engines, and AI agents. Built to answer the question directly, then show the method.

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Each post targets one durable question rather than a short-lived headline.

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Every article ships JSON-LD plus direct answers for answer engines.

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Clean Markdown routes keep the signal high for LLM retrieval.

Signals2026-05-17 · 7 min

Prediction market signals: momentum, divergence, flow, and resolution risk

Signals are useful only when they separate what happened from what to verify next. This guide explains Orrery's four core signal families and why none of them is a trade recommendation.

prediction market signalsPolymarket signalsprediction market analyticsmarket momentum
Resolution2026-05-17 · 8 min

Polymarket resolution risk: how markets settle and what to verify

The headline asks one thing. The resolution rule may decide another. Here is the verification loop Orrery uses before treating a market as clean.

Polymarket resolution riskPolymarket resolution rulesUMA optimistic oracleprediction market settlement
Whales2026-05-17 · 7 min

Polymarket whale tracking: what large trades actually mean

A large trade is evidence of attention, not proof of skill. The useful question is whether size, timing, wallet history, and market context agree.

Polymarket whale trackerPolymarket large tradesprediction market whalessmart money Polymarket
Agents2026-05-17 · 8 min

Prediction market API for AI agents: grounded market intelligence

Agents do not need vague market commentary. They need structured, fresh, citeable market intelligence with clear limits and machine-readable next calls.

prediction market APIPolymarket API for AI agentsx402 APIAI agent market data
Tools2026-05-17 · 7 min

Best Polymarket analytics tools: how to choose a prediction market dashboard

The best analytics tool is not the one with the most charts. It is the one that turns live market data into a shorter, safer research queue.

best Polymarket analytics toolsPolymarket dashboardprediction market analytics toolsPolymarket scanner
Whales2026-05-17 · 7 min

How to track Polymarket whales without mistaking size for skill

Whale tracking is useful when it tells you where attention is moving. It becomes dangerous when one large trade is treated as proof.

how to track Polymarket whalesPolymarket whale trackerPolymarket wallet trackingprediction market whales
Resolution2026-05-17 · 8 min

How Polymarket markets resolve: rules, sources, UMA, and finality

Markets do not resolve because a chart reaches 99 percent. They resolve according to rules, sources, and oracle finality.

how Polymarket markets resolvePolymarket market resolutionPolymarket settlement rulesUMA oracle Polymarket
Agents2026-05-17 · 8 min

Prediction market API for agents: what autonomous systems should call first

Agents do not need another odds table. They need a ranked queue, citations, risk flags, and next calls they can execute safely.

prediction market API for agentsAI agent prediction market APIPolymarket API agentsx402 prediction market API
Signals2026-05-17 · 7 min

Polymarket signals explained: momentum, flow, divergence, and source risk

Signals are not magic. They are labels for observable market conditions that deserve either attention, verification, or silence.

Polymarket signals explainedPolymarket momentum signalprediction market signalsPolymarket flow signal
Data2026-05-17 · 8 min

Polymarket vs Kalshi data: how prediction market datasets differ

Prediction market data is not interchangeable. Venue rules, contract design, resolution, and API shape change how analytics should be built.

Polymarket vs Kalshi dataPolymarket Kalshi APIprediction market dataKalshi data
Politics2026-05-17 · 8 min

Election prediction markets: how to read odds, volume, and resolution rules

Election markets are tempting because the headline is familiar. That familiarity is exactly why the rule, source, and timing deserve extra care.

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Crypto2026-05-17 · 7 min

Crypto prediction markets: how to read price, volume, and event risk

Crypto markets move quickly, but prediction market contracts still resolve slowly and specifically. Treat both truths as part of the data.

crypto prediction marketsBitcoin prediction marketsPolymarket crypto marketsETH prediction market
x4022026-05-17 · 7 min

What is x402? HTTP payments for AI agents explained

x402 turns payment into part of the HTTP request cycle. For agents, that means buying one answer at a time.

what is x402x402 paymentsHTTP 402 payment requiredAI agent payments
Agents2026-05-17 · 9 min

How to build an AI agent for prediction markets

A good prediction-market agent is not a trader in disguise. It is a disciplined research assistant with sources, limits, and a budget.

build AI agent prediction marketsprediction market AI agentPolymarket AI agentx402 agent API
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