High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs
Resolves in 6h — verify the source
Verify
2US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Resolves in 54h — verify the source
Verify
3Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
4Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
5Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Resolves in 54h — verify the source
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
40% 11.5pp
24h volume
$556.9K
Orrery Pulse27% current18-74% 7D range-47.0pp net move
84%65%45%26%7%
27%
May 2827%-47.0pp from start
May 24May 24May 25May 26May 26May 27May 28May 28
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxTop read
24h Δ -11.5pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 0.8× liquidity
3Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
24h Δ -5.0pp, 1h Δ -5.0pp · Turnover 3.6× liquidity
4Open
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
24h Δ -4.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 3.2× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 80/98 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 78/87 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 80 | 74/89 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 72/89 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 77 | 71/82 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 28, 2026
Read full brief - Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox probability down 11.5pp on $0.6M of 24h volume.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox shows a momentum pattern at 80% evidence — verify on the market.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 resolves in 5h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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