Resolves in 40h — verify the source
Verify
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full opportunities Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings
Resolves in 40h — verify the source
Verify
Resolves in 40h — verify the source
Verify
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
Resolves in 40h — verify the source
Verify
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?UMA PENDING
High
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
—
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosPAST EVENT
—
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas RangersPAST EVENT
—
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee BrewersPAST EVENT
—
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White SoxPAST EVENT
—
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota TwinsPAST EVENT
—
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta BravesPAST EVENT
—
Detroit Tigers vs. New York MetsPAST EVENT
—
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue JaysPAST EVENT
—
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red SoxPAST EVENT
—
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati RedsPAST EVENT
—
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPAST EVENT
—
—
—
—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)PAST EVENT
—
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full opportunities | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 92/86 96/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 83 | 75/84 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 78 | 71/85 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 69 | 51/84 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 14, 2026
Read full brief - Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? probability down 9.4pp on $0.3M of 24h volume.
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? shows a momentum pattern at 92% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14? resolves in 16h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
WATCHLIST DELTA
Watchlist sits in your browser — we don't store it server-side. Add markets you want to track, then this panel shows the since-last-visit delta for each.
Set up watchlist