High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres
Momentum observation
Momentum
2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Resolves in 2h — verify the source
Verify
3Hurricanes vs. Canadiens
Resolves in 2h — verify the source
Verify
4Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Momentum observation
Momentum
5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Momentum observation
Momentum
MARKET PULSE
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego PadresHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
90% 32.0pp
24h volume
$1.4M
Orrery Pulse79% current17-79% 7D range+45.5pp net move
90%69%48%27%5%
79%
May 2779%+45.5pp from start
May 27May 27May 27May 27May 27May 27May 27May 27
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open 2Open 3Open 4Open 5Open 6Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Top read
24h Δ -12.0pp, 1h Δ -2.0pp · Turnover 7.1× liquidity
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres
24h Δ 32.0pp, 1h Δ 41.0pp · Turnover 12.6× liquidity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
24h Δ -11.0pp, 1h Δ -4.0pp · Turnover 6.6× liquidity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
24h Δ -9.5pp, 1h Δ -0.5pp · Turnover 4.1× liquidity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
24h Δ -9.0pp, 1h Δ -2.5pp · Turnover 3.7× liquidity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
24h Δ -8.5pp, 1h Δ -0.5pp · Turnover 4.6× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
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Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 95/100 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 88 | 83/93 96/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/84 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/84 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 91/88 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 27, 2026
Read full brief - Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres probability up 32.0pp on $1.4M of 24h volume.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Hurricanes vs. Canadiens resolves in 2h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
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