Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets

Today

5 things to verify

6 observations · 32 resolution risks

refreshed now
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue
1Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Resolves in 3h — verify the source

Verify
Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings
2Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini

Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream

Verify
Verify source and settlement before reading price moves as info
3US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Resolves in 4h — verify the source

Verify
Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings
4US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Resolves in 52h — verify the source

Verify
Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings
5Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox

Momentum observation

Momentum
Inspect timeline and compare to event-cluster siblings
MARKET PULSE
Will Adobe Q2 total ARR be above $26.5B?LIVE
Selected: shared dashboard stateChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
63% 0.0pp
24h volume
$0
Orrery Pulse63% current50-64% 7D range+13.0pp net move
66%61%57%52%48%
63%
May 2863%+13.0pp from start
May 25May 25May 26May 26May 27May 27May 28May 28
View market
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals
1
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxTop read
24h Δ -48.4pp, 1h Δ -1.4pp · Turnover 14.5× liquidity
High95/100 evidenceBacktest: mixed(High sample)
Open
2
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
24h Δ 11.0pp, 1h Δ 1.0pp · Turnover 3.3× liquidity
High95/100 evidenceBacktest: mixed(High sample)
Open
3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
24h Δ -9.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 4.0× liquidity
High91/100 evidenceBacktest: mixed(High sample)
Open
4
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
24h Δ 6.8pp, 1h Δ 0.4pp · Turnover 5.2× liquidity
High84/100 evidenceBacktest: mixed(High sample)
Open
5
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakova
24h Δ 6.0pp, 1h Δ 29.0pp · Turnover 4.3× liquidity
High81/100 evidenceBacktest: mixed(High sample)
Open
6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
24h Δ -5.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 2.0× liquidity
High78/100 evidenceBacktest: mixed(High sample)
Open
How we score evidence
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 28, 2026
Read full brief
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
  • —
RISK INCREASED (3)
Read full brief
WATCHLIST DELTA

Watchlist sits in your browser — we don't store it server-side. Add markets you want to track, then this panel shows the since-last-visit delta for each.

Set up watchlist

ORRERY PRO

Prediction-market intelligence terminal

Know what moved, why it matters, what can go wrong, and what to verify next. Built for humans, teams, and AI agents.

Start freeView pricingFor agents / API
Live Tape—

Tape quiet — no whales, signals, or 1h moves above the threshold in this window.