Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
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Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Verify source and settlement before reading price moves as info
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue JaysUMA PENDING
High
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red SoxUMA PENDING
High
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesUMA PENDING
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
New York Mets vs. Miami MarlinsUMA PENDING
High
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
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Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsPAST EVENT
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Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City RoyalsPAST EVENT
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Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesPAST EVENT
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Thunder vs. SpursPAST EVENT
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Spread: Spurs (-2.5)PAST EVENT
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Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5PAST EVENT
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Spread: Spurs (-1.5)PAST EVENT
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Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5PAST EVENT
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Golden Knights vs. AvalanchePAST EVENT
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 78/87 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 83 | 82/89 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 80 | 80/79 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 79 | 72/87 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 77 | 57/92 98/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 23, 2026
Read full brief - Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? probability up 43.0pp on $0.3M of 24h volume.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? shows a divergence pattern at 82% evidence — verify on the market.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs resolves in 9h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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