High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
2Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
3US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Resolves in 3h — verify the source
Verify
4US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Resolves in 51h — verify the source
Verify
5Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox
Momentum observation
Momentum
MARKET PULSE
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
52% 11.0pp
24h volume
$317.0K
Orrery Pulse2% current2-48% 7D range-46.3pp net move
63%47%32%16%0%
2%
May 282%-46.3pp from start
May 27May 27May 27May 28May 28May 28May 28May 28
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxTop read
24h Δ -48.4pp, 1h Δ -1.4pp · Turnover 14.5× liquidity
4Open
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakova
24h Δ 6.0pp, 1h Δ 29.0pp · Turnover 4.3× liquidity
5Open
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
24h Δ -5.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 2.0× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
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Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 95/79 96/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 84 | 84/81 92/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 78/89 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 81/81 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 28, 2026
Read full brief - Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox probability down 48.4pp on $0.8M of 24h volume.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 resolves in 2h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
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