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Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Verify source and settlement before reading price moves as info
MARKET PULSE
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
15% 15.0pp
24h volume
$504.4K
Orrery Pulse10% current10-50% 7D range-40.0pp net move
57%44%30%16%3%
10%
May 2310%-40.0pp from start
May 21May 21May 21May 22May 22May 22May 22May 23
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Thunder vs. SpursUMA PENDING
High
Golden Knights vs. AvalancheUMA PENDING
High
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue JaysUMA PENDING
High
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red SoxUMA PENDING
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)UMA PENDING
High
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)UMA PENDING
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5UMA PENDING
High
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5UMA PENDING
High
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersUMA PENDING
High
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City RoyalsUMA PENDING
High
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Athletics vs. San Diego PadresPAST EVENT
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Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsPAST EVENT
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 95/87 90/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 90/87 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/78 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 78/88 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 78 | 74/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 23, 2026
Read full brief - Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? probability up 41.0pp on $0.3M of 24h volume.
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs resolves in 7h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
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