Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
3 observations · 32 resolution risks
VERIFICATION QUEUERanked checks before you trust the price.
Full research queue Recommended next check
Start here: Verify the resolution source before reading price moves as info1Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05?
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
2Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 34h — verify the source
Verify
3Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Momentum observation
Momentum
4Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
Momentum observation
Momentum
5Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?
Resolves in 2h — verify the source
Verify
ACTIVE VERIFICATION TARGET
Active target: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
45% 14.0pp
24h volume
$195.3K
Verification target50% current50-64% 7D range+0.0pp net move
67%62%57%52%47%
50%
Jun 450%+0.0pp from start
Jun 2Jun 2Jun 2Jun 3Jun 3Jun 3Jun 4Jun 4
WHY THIS IS ACTIVE
Orrery is prioritizing this market because price movement, volume, and evidence context make it worth checking before reading the price as information.
14.0pp24h move$195.3K24h volumeVerifysource and settlement path
EVIDENCE ACTIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander ZverevQueue proof
24h Δ -19.0pp, 1h Δ -18.5pp · Turnover 27.9× liquidity
2Open
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
24h Δ -14.0pp, 1h Δ -0.3pp · Turnover 1.8× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
High
High
High
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
—
—
—
—
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 92/84 96/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 88 | 95/87 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 69 | 51/84 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 5, 2026
Read full brief - Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev probability down 19.0pp on $4.4M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5? resolves in 2h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
WATCHLIST DELTA
Watchlist sits in your browser — we don't store it server-side. Add markets you want to track, then this panel shows the since-last-visit delta for each.
Set up watchlistORRERY PRO
Prediction-market intelligence terminal
Know what moved, why it matters, what can go wrong, and what to verify next. Built for humans, teams, and AI agents.