High
Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
4 observations · 32 resolution risks
VERIFICATION QUEUERanked checks before you trust the price.
Full research queue Recommended next check
Start here: Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings1Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Resolves in 29h — verify the source
Verify
2Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
3Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 29h — verify the source
Verify
4Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
5Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 29h — verify the source
Verify
ACTIVE VERIFICATION TARGET
Active target: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
42% 4.0pp
24h volume
$461.7K
Verification target51% current51-51% 7D range+0.0pp net move
59%55%51%46%42%
51%
May 3051%+0.0pp from start
May 29May 29May 30May 30May 30May 30May 30May 30
WHY THIS IS #1
Scoring M1
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs
Ranked by evidence, liquidity, spread quality, resolution state, and whether related markets need comparison.
Source statusUMA PENDINGEvidence context72/100 evidenceMarket movement4.0ppLiquidity$461.7KNext checkVerify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings
EVIDENCE ACTIONS
All signals 1Open
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago CubsQueue proof
24h Δ 4.0pp, 1h Δ 3.0pp · Turnover 1.9× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin MoellerUMA PENDING
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
Live Tape—
Tape quiet — no large trades, signals, or 1h moves above the threshold in this window.
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 72/90 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 74 | 62/86 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 69 | 51/84 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 69 | 51/84 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 5, 2026
Read full brief - Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? probability down 13.8pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs shows a momentum pattern at 72% evidence — verify on the market.
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 resolves in 5h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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