Polymarket wallet tracking: activity, context, and what not to assume

Polymarket wallet tracking follows public wallet activity to understand where large traders are active, how concentrated a market may be, and whether recent flow adds useful context to a market move.

The safest prediction-market workflow separates attention, evidence, source quality, and next action. A probability move can be important, but it is not useful until the market is liquid enough, the rule is clear enough, and the user knows what to verify next.

• Start with recent whale-size trades, not every tiny fill.
• Group by wallet, market, time window, and side.
• Separate activity score from profitability or skill claims.
• Use wallet context to prioritize research, not to copy positions.

Good research tools keep the boring details visible. Expiry, resolution source, official status, spread, liquidity, and related markets often explain why a headline probability should be treated carefully.

• How many trades support the wallet score?
• Is one market dominating the wallet's apparent activity?
• Did the price move after the trade?
• Is the context classifier explaining why the trade is unknown or notable?

Orrery's Whales and Wallets views frame large trades as context. The persistent ledger, leaderboard, and future rollups are designed to show attention and concentration without labeling wallets as copy targets.

Orrery is not a broker and does not provide trade recommendations. It ranks research work, explains market structure, and keeps resolution rules visible so humans and agents can make better verification decisions.