Verify prediction-market movement before you trust the price.
Orrery shows what moved, why it matters, what can go wrong, and what to verify next - for people and agents.
One loop: what moved, why, what can break, what to track.
Paid intelligence API plus web terminal for serious prediction-market monitoring. The flow is intentionally narrow: route attention, inspect evidence, verify resolution risk, then make the workflow repeat through alerts, watchlists, briefs, or agent calls.
Boundary
Chain metric
P-focusThe product health metric is not just visits. The question is whether a user or agent follows the chain from attention to evidence to risk to a saved monitoring loop.
1. GET /api/x402/v1/decision/attention?limit=5
2. GET /api/x402/v1/decision/market/{slug}
3. GET /api/x402/v1/markets/{slug}/resolution-risk
4. Create an alert, save a watchlist, or add the market to Daily Brief reviewIdeal demo path
live exampleUse this as the sales, beta, and agent demo: start here, open one real market, jump straight to resolution-risk context, then create a prefilled alert. It proves the product loop without changing the core frontend.
Live market example
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
Start at /decision-flow
Use the canonical workflow as the product's promise and measurement surface.
Inspect the live market example
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
Jump to resolution-risk context
Read the source, expiry, UMA status, and ambiguity notes before trusting the move.
Create a prefilled monitoring rule
The Alerts builder opens with this market selected via prefill.
01Attention queue
Find what deserves review
Rank markets by movement, volume, freshness, whale flow, resolution proximity, and source risk so the user or agent starts with a short queue.
GET /api/x402/v1/decision/attention
The product can compress a noisy market universe into a review queue.
02Market decision card
Explain the specific market
Open one market card with probability, move factors, source status, evidence, risks, and suggested next calls.
GET /api/x402/v1/decision/market/{id}
The product explains context without turning it into a buy or sell call.
03Resolution risk
Check what can go wrong
Verify source wording, expiry, UMA state, pinned prices, disputes, and settlement ambiguity before treating price movement as news.
GET /api/x402/v1/markets/{id}/resolution-risk
The differentiated Orrery layer is verification, not raw market listing.
04Alert or brief
Make the loop repeat
Save the market, set a watch or alert, and let Daily Brief bring the user or agent back when the state changes.
POST /alerts or GET /api/x402/v1/brief/today
Retention comes from workflow embedding: brief, watchlist, alerts, and repeat API calls.
Product metrics that matter
focusDaily returning researchers
Brief, scanner, market detail, and alert usage on repeat days.
Follow-up call chain rate
Attention -> decision -> resolution-risk -> alert/API follow-up.
API/MCP repeat callers
Agents and developers making repeated paid or credit-backed calls.
Resolution-risk engagement
Users and agents opening risk checks before trusting a move.
Public promise
no-adviceOrrery is read-only research infrastructure. It does not place orders, recommend buys or sells, or turn market movement into trade instructions.