Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1 markets in this event family · $331.6K 24h volume · $758.6K liquidity. Share the URL anywhere — the rich preview card shows the cluster's biggest mover with one glance.
$331.6K
1 markets · liq $758.7K
1.0pp
Mean |24h move|
0
Markets ≥5pp 24h
$0.00
0 trades ≥$5k
0
Active UMA dispute / pending
0
Settlement positioning risk
All markets in this cluster
1| Market | Prob | Δ24h | Vol | Liq |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 32¢ | +1.0 | $331.6K | $758.7K |
About this event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.