Index

Macro Pressure Index

Macro market activity — Fed decisions, CPI prints, recession probability, commodity prices, dollar moves.

Today

13/ 100

Across 6 live markets · 24h volume $1.7M

Move

Volume

Resolution

What's driving this

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
MacroVol $182.0K
63¢
+4.0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
MacroVol $291.0K
1¢
+0.5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
MacroVol $293.4K
98¢
-0.3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
MacroVol $195.1K
0¢
-0.2
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
MacroVol $518.7K
1¢
+0.1

How this score is built

score =
  0.5 × 21 (move component)
+ 0.3 × 8 (volume component)
+ 0.2 × 0 (resolution-pressure component)
= 13

Each axis is normalised against a hand-tuned ceiling so scores stay 0-100 and comparable across indexes. The page revalidates every 30 minutes from public Polymarket data — once a persistent snapshot store lands we'll add day-over-day deltas and an archive page.