Will Austin Smotherman finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?
Probability
0¢
1h
-14.9pp
24h
-9.0pp
24h Vol
$1.0K
Liquidity
$183.9K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 9pp over 24h
Now 0¢; -14.9pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 9.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 00:12SignalMEDIUM
Momentum down
Probability moved down 9.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 00:12SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 1d agoResolveHIGH
Market resolved 24h ago
Price movement
-9.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Biggest hourly move: -49.7pp at 3d ago (to 0¢).
Show top 8 of 42 hourly moves
- 00:11 · -49.5pp → 0¢
- 20:00 · +49.3pp → 50¢
- 19:00 · +49.3pp → 50¢
- 17:00 · +49.2pp → 50¢
- 15:00 · +49.2pp → 50¢
- 13:00 · +49.2pp → 50¢
- 3d ago · -49.7pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · +47.5pp → 50¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by May 9, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.