Will Matt McCarty finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?
Probability
50¢
1h
-22.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$426.02
Liquidity
$3.00
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (99.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 50¢; -22.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 99.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (99.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 22:54SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 23h ago
Price movement
-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.
Biggest hourly move: -43.5pp at 4d ago (to 6¢).
Show top 8 of 48 hourly moves
- 17:00 · +34.5pp → 44¢
- 07:00 · +32.0pp → 40¢
- 05:00 · +32.5pp → 38¢
- 23:00 · +31.0pp → 37¢
- 1d ago · -36.0pp → 14¢
- 3d ago · -42.0pp → 8¢
- 4d ago · -43.5pp → 6¢
- 4d ago · -43.0pp → 7¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
9- 100¢+0.2
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Other · Vol $16.3M
- 0¢-6.5
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-03?
Other · Vol $376.7K
- 100¢0.0
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $297.9K
- 100¢+19.4
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?
Other · Vol $172.7K
- 100¢+50.9
Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Michael Mmoh
Other · Vol $161.3K
- 0¢-48.4
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-05-03?
Other · Vol $136.2K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by May 9, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.