UnclassifiedMulti-outcomeExpires May 10, 2026
Creator

Will Luke Clanton win the 2026 ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic?

Probability

1¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-31.9pp

24h Vol

$100.00

Liquidity

$441.65

Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active

Derived status (Orrery)

EXPIRED

Reason

Expiry is in the past but upstream has not confirmed a resolution.

Expiry passed and the market has not been officially resolved. Do not treat the price as the outcome.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 10, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
to the listed player who wins the 2026 ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic tournament
Link
pgatour.com
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires May 10, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 4, 2026, 17:00May 10, 2026, 07:27
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-10T07-56Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 32pp over 24h

    Now 1¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk observation firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $442 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 07:56Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Scheduled resolution

    Expiry passed 8h ago; not yet resolved upstream

    HIGH

Price movement

-31.9pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

Biggest hourly move: +49.5pp at 2d ago (to 50¢).

Show top 8 of 31 hourly moves
  • 2d ago · +49.5pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · +49.5pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · +49.5pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · +49.5pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · +49.5pp → 50¢
  • 3d ago · -49.1pp → 0¢
  • 3d ago · -49.1pp → 0¢
  • 3d ago · -49.1pp → 0¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

10
Same eventPGA Tour: ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic Winner
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by May 16, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Why this category?

confidence: low

Category

Other

Source

Default fallback

Reason

No override, sports marker, rule, or upstream hint matched. Market is unclassified — the keyword rules need an entry for this topic.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Will Luke Clanton win the 2026 ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic?"?

As of Sun, 10 May 2026 07:56:38 GMT, YES is priced at 1% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed -31.9pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by May 10, 2026 (2026-05-10T00:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://www.pgatour.com/.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.pgatour.com/. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$100.00 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $115.00. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $441.65. Spread between best bid and best ask: 1.4¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.

Top Holders

8 wallets
Open on Polymarket