Will Aalesund win Norway Eliteserien?
Probability
6¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-37.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$33.49
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 37pp over 24h
Now 6¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5721h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 10.4¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5721.0h
- 18:59SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5721h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-36.8pp over the last 24h, now 6¢.
Biggest hourly move: +39.5pp at 2d ago (to 43¢).
Show all 33 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:59 · +4.4pp → 6¢
- 17:00 · +4.1pp → 6¢
- 15:00 · +3.9pp → 6¢
- 14:00 · +3.7pp → 6¢
- 12:00 · +3.5pp → 6¢
- 11:00 · +3.4pp → 6¢
- 09:00 · +3.2pp → 6¢
- 08:00 · +3.1pp → 6¢
- 06:00 · +25.4pp → 28¢
- 05:00 · +26.5pp → 29¢
- 03:00 · +39.5pp → 43¢
- 02:00 · +39.2pp → 42¢
- 00:00 · +26.7pp → 30¢
- 23:00 · +35.1pp → 38¢
- 21:00 · +37.1pp → 40¢
- 20:00 · +23.5pp → 27¢
- 1d ago · +39.1pp → 42¢
- 1d ago · +26.2pp → 29¢
- 1d ago · +37.6pp → 41¢
- 1d ago · +39.4pp → 42¢
- 1d ago · +31.3pp → 34¢
- 1d ago · +39.5pp → 43¢
- 1d ago · +38.6pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · +34.9pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · +38.8pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · +39.4pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · +39.5pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · +36.1pp → 39¢
- 2d ago · +39.5pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · +33.4pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · +33.9pp → 37¢
- 2d ago · +38.8pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · +34.4pp → 37¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Norway Eliteserien. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Norway Eliteserien per the rules of Norway Eliteserien (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Norway Eliteserien; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 20, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (10.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.