Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of April?
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.2pp
24h Vol
$281.06
Liquidity
$4.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+9.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 131.4h
- 08:38PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.3pp
to 100¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 99¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.3pp
to 99¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.2pp
to 99¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.1pp
to 99¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 99¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 99¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.9pp
to 99¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.9pp
to 99¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.8pp
to 99¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.7pp
to 99¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.7pp
to 99¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.6pp
to 99¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.6pp
to 99¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.6pp
to 99¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.7pp
to 99¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.7pp
to 99¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.6pp
to 99¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.6pp
to 99¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).