Obedient-Population
0x6c3789734ebd5c9494932e4936b7cc20cfdcd40f
Quality score
100/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$476.66
Total PnL
$91.36
Realised
$30.04
Win rate
58%
120 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.00
$43.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?
170 shares @ 1.4¢·now 24.4¢·exp May 1, 2026$41.48
$39.16
- YES
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
109 shares @ 8.2¢·now 16.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$17.36
$8.51
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 4.0¢·now 7.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.28
$6.28
- YES
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100 shares @ 1.3¢·now 12.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$12.35
$11.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?
105 shares @ 0.9¢·now 11.4¢·exp May 1, 2026$11.97
$11.06
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
128 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.74
$0.72
- YES
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
101 shares @ 8.5¢·now 9.6¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$9.71
$1.08
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$7.50
$0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$7.603m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $60 end of April?$0.058m ago
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$2.4515m ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.9115m ago
- TRADESELLWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$1.0016m ago
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.6016m ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.8921m ago
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.8026m ago
- TRADESELLWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$0.8028m ago
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$0.6031m ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$0.8031m ago
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$0.3038m ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$7.0040m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.101h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?$0.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?$0.011h ago
- TRADESELLWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.401h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.131h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.071h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by May 31?$4.201h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3h ago
- Last active
- 3m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.