Obedient-Population
0x6c3789734ebd5c9494932e4936b7cc20cfdcd40f
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$158.78
Total PnL
$-182.94
Realised
$-11.17
Win rate
54%
76 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?
127 shares @ 1.8¢·now 24.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$30.93
$28.69
- YES
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
127 shares @ 4.0¢·now 22.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.58
$23.51
- YES
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?
110 shares @ 2.3¢·now 9.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.50
$7.93
- YES
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
106 shares @ 7.9¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.50
$1.16
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
124 shares @ 9.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.31
$-2.86
- YES
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?
108 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.07
$1.61
- YES
EU dissolves before 2027?
170 shares @ 4.4¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.71
$-1.73
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
149 shares @ 1.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.66
$4.11
- YES
Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026?
195 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.26
$-6.38
- YES
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
121 shares @ 1.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.25
$3.19
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.40Jun 13, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.30Jun 13, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.10Jun 13, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.14Jun 13, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.78Jun 13, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.10Jun 13, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.44Jun 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.56Jun 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.90Jun 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$7.00Jun 13, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.44Jun 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.14Jun 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.21Jun 13, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.39Jun 13, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$0.20Jun 13, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.70Jun 13, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.10Jun 13, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$6.70Jun 13, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$0.12Jun 13, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.16Jun 13, 15:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 76 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.