AHL: Grand Rapids Griffins vs. Manitoba Moose
Probability
66¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$181.85
Liquidity
$1.1K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarybased on the final score including any overtime periods and shootoutsLinkTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 66¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $1.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarybased on the final score including any overtime periods and shootoutsLinkTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 19:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 2.1h
- 16:55SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 2h.
Price movement
+2.5pp over the last 24h, now 66¢.
Biggest hourly move: +18.5pp at 19:00 (to 69¢).
Show top 8 of 43 hourly moves
- 23:00 · +18.5pp → 69¢
- 21:00 · +18.5pp → 69¢
- 19:00 · +18.5pp → 69¢
- 2d ago · +18.0pp → 68¢
- 2d ago · +18.0pp → 68¢
- 2d ago · +18.0pp → 68¢
- 2d ago · +18.0pp → 68¢
- 2d ago · +18.0pp → 68¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for 2026-05-03: If Grand Rapids Griffins win, the market will resolve to "Grand Rapids Griffins". If Manitoba Moose win, the market will resolve to "Manitoba Moose". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Alerts
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