Unsightly-Thesis
0x18cd3eb49412052ed956086bb37ffef471516fb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$15.41
Total PnL
$-112.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
944 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.61
$-44.38
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 25.2¢·now 23.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 16.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.67
$-0.33
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
51 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.38
$-0.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$3.00Jun 11, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$1.05Jun 11, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$1.75Jun 11, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$1.53Jun 9, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos be released on June 10?$1.10Jun 9, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill India win?$1.14Jun 9, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos be released on June 11?$1.88Jun 9, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.56Jun 9, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos be released on June 10?$5.00Jun 9, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.78Jun 8, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$0.00Jun 8, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.48Jun 8, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$5.80Jun 7, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?$5.62Jun 6, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$29.00Jun 6, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$9.00Jun 6, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMConnecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky$1.41Jun 6, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-05?$1.12Jun 6, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMChicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies$5.00Jun 6, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMAHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Chicago Wolves$1.64Jun 6, 18:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 15:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 17:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.