Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?
Probability
25¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$71.01
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.2pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 2
Wide spread — 48.5¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 12:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
8- 2¢-2.4pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $720.1K
- 10¢-30.0pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $652.4K
- 85¢0.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $567.7K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $541.3K
Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 6, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Mar 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.afa.com.ar/
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (48.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).