Mateus Cardoso Alves vs. Hernan Casanova: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Probability
37¢
1h
-4.0pp
24h
+4.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$475.58
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Up 4pp over 24h
Now 37¢; -4.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 151.6h
Price movement
+4.0pp over the last 24h, now 37¢.
Biggest hourly move: -29.5pp at 05:22 (to 37¢).
Show top 8 of 9 hourly moves
- 05:22 · -29.5pp → 37¢
- 04:00 · -9.5pp → 41¢
- 03:00 · -9.5pp → 41¢
- 02:00 · -9.5pp → 41¢
- 00:00 · -8.5pp → 42¢
- 22:00 · -8.5pp → 42¢
- 20:00 · -8.5pp → 42¢
- 19:00 · -8.5pp → 42¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Mateus Cardoso Alves and Hernan Casanova in the Santos, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Alerts
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Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.
