Jiujiang: Alex Bolt vs Adam Walton
Probability
47¢
1h
+33.5pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$108.6K
Liquidity
$34.3K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 9, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Volume pressure
Heavy volume on this book — 3.2× turnover
$108.6k traded against $34.3k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 9, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 166.1h
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 47¢.
Related Markets
10- 99¢+87.3
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Other · Vol $549.0K
- 53¢+3.0
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?
Other · Vol $454.1K
- 100¢+83.8
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $447.0K
- 100¢0.0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Other · Vol $273.4K
- 18¢0.0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Other · Vol $221.3K
- 5¢-18.2
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?
Other · Vol $187.9K
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Adam Walton in the Jiujiang, originally scheduled for May 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Adam Walton. This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Alex Bolt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
20 wallets- Glaring-Salt13.1K
- Obedient-Drawing3.4K
- Youthful-Mug3.0K
- Awful-Nursery2.0K
- 0xff34…694b1.2K
- Ready-Dissonance8.3K
- Scary-Edible4.8K
- Frail-Possible3.2K
- Merry-Boat2.6K
- Happy-Go-Lucky-Min2.3K