Set 1 Winner: Dedura-Palomero vs Donald

• 01
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.

• 02
  Liquidity

  Thin liquidity

  Only $927 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

This market refers to the tennis match between Diego Dedura-Palomero and Matthew William Donald in the Mauthausen, originally scheduled for April 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Dedura-Palomero” if Diego Dedura-Palomero wins the first set. It will resolve to “Donald” if Matthew William Donald wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.