Francavilla: Felix Gill vs Zdenek Kolar

• 01
  Price move

  Down 4pp over 24h

  Now 48¢; flat in the last hour.

• 02
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.

• 03
  Spread cost

  Wide spread — 9.0¢

  Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Gill and Zdenek Kolar in the Francavilla, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Gill' if Felix Gill advances against Zdenek Kolar. This market will resolve to 'Zdenek Kolar' if Zdenek Kolar advances against Felix Gill. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.