UnclassifiedExpires May 11, 2026
Creator

Francavilla: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Clement Chidekh

Probability

61¢

1h

-1.0pp

24h

-6.0pp

24h Vol

$1.9K

Liquidity

$37.3K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 11, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Official ATP Tour data
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 3, 2026, 05:00May 4, 2026, 13:06
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 6pp over 24h

    Now 61¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 6.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 66¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Watch the next 6–24 hours: momentum signals historically extend on this kind of setup but pay spread on entry. Compare to /backtest for the rule's historical performance.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 162.9h

    LOW
  • 13:06Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 6.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-6.0pp over the last 24h, now 61¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Alvaro Guillen Meza and Clement Chidekh in the Francavilla, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alvaro Guillen Meza' if Alvaro Guillen Meza advances against Clement Chidekh. This market will resolve to 'Clement Chidekh' if Clement Chidekh advances against Alvaro Guillen Meza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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