Francavilla: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Clement Chidekh
Probability
61¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
-6.0pp
24h Vol
$1.9K
Liquidity
$37.3K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 11, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Down 6pp over 24h
Now 61¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 6.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 66¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Watch the next 6–24 hours: momentum signals historically extend on this kind of setup but pay spread on entry. Compare to /backtest for the rule's historical performance.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 11, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 162.9h
- 13:06SignalMEDIUM
Momentum down
Probability moved down 6.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
Price movement
-6.0pp over the last 24h, now 61¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Alvaro Guillen Meza and Clement Chidekh in the Francavilla, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alvaro Guillen Meza' if Alvaro Guillen Meza advances against Clement Chidekh. This market will resolve to 'Clement Chidekh' if Clement Chidekh advances against Alvaro Guillen Meza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
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