Darling-Purse
0xffa14f82521b614393bc00bf98e20e213b133c38
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-490.94
Realised
$0.65
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
45000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
3607 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-23.99
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 6?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- TEAM LYNX
Dota 2: Aim Possible vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 6?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
1904 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 14?
1300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$0.00Jun 23, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool?$1.03Jun 23, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?$1.03Jun 23, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?$1.03Jun 23, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve remove Nuke from the Map Pool?$1.03Jun 23, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$0.11Jun 23, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.48Jun 23, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3.57Jun 23, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?$0.00Jun 22, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.04Jun 22, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Execration vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs$1.02Jun 22, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs$2.04Jun 22, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.19Jun 22, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs$1.02Jun 22, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs$0.00Jun 22, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$1.61Jun 22, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs$1.99Jun 22, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.27Jun 22, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.27Jun 22, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.16Jun 22, 09:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 09:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 18:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.