Set 1 Winner: Neumayer vs Djere
Probability
48¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+23.0pp
24h Vol
$20.00
Liquidity
$1.7K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 23pp over 24h
Now 48¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $1.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 174.6h
- 01:21SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.
Price movement
+23.0pp over the last 24h, now 48¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 55¢+5.0
Neumayer vs. Djere: Match O/U 21.5
Sports · Vol $8.00
- 47¢-3.0
Neumayer vs. Djere: Match O/U 22.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0
Neumayer vs. Djere: Match O/U 23.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 46¢-2.5
Mauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djere
Sports · Vol $2.0K
- 40¢-10.0
Lukas Neumayer vs. Laslo Djere: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Sports · Vol $46.51
- 75¢+25.0
Neumayer vs. Djere: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0
Neumayer vs. Djere: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 26¢-24.0
Neumayer vs. Djere: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+44.5
Knicks vs. Hawks
Sports · Vol $3.9M
- 0¢0.0
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Sports · Vol $3.1M
- 42¢-26.0
Celtics vs. 76ers
Sports · Vol $1.9M
- 73¢+5.0
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Sports · Vol $1.7M
- 48¢+1.0
Stars vs. Wild
Sports · Vol $1.4M
- 100¢0.0
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
Sports · Vol $1.4M
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Lukas Neumayer and Laslo Djere in the Mauthausen, originally scheduled for May 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Neumayer” if Lukas Neumayer wins the first set. It will resolve to “Djere” if Laslo Djere wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.