Wuxi: Rio Noguchi vs Jie Cui

• 01
  Price move

  Down 60pp over 24h

  Now 0¢; -30.4pp in the last hour.

• 02
  Active signal

  Momentum observation firing

  Probability moved down 60.5pp in 24h with 0.4× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

This market refers to the tennis match between Rio Noguchi and Jie Cui in the Wuxi, originally scheduled for May 7, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Jie Cui. This market will resolve to 'Jie Cui' if Jie Cui advances against Rio Noguchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.